Inside the Superforecasters
Tetlock recruited 284 pundits and had them make 82,000 individual predictions from 1983 to 2003.
Tetlock recruited 284 pundits and had them make 82,000 individual predictions from 1983 to 2003.
Our intellectual ascendency defined us as a species and is inextricably linked to our success and our ability to connect with one another.
In the early 20th century, this led to a split in the field of statistics, with intense debates taking place about whose methods and ways of thinking were better.
Biosocial criminologists endure reputational attacks often. The field of criminology is not an especially cordial place to work.
It implies the effortlessness in which a fragment of a song, arriving in the inner ear without conscious effort, can continually loop and stick around.
The tyranny of confirmation bias and the fanaticism of its enforcers are not only a disaster for academics themselves.
Blockchain is important because it provides a way to communicate electronically that mimics face-to-face transacting in the physical world.
The decline in female subjective wellbeing was found to cut across both class and race and held true for women of all ages, with children and without.
Strident, inflammatory, provocative, opinionated – in numerous ways, Greer is difficult to like. She annihilates men and belittles other women, shooting down feminist allies from Friedan to Weldon.
It is puzzling how smart people can diverge so much on political issues. Especially when their lines of reasoning are completely delineated, covering much of the arguments in dispute.
Why I'm pro-democracy; anti-totalitarianism; and support for universal human rights.
According to the radicals, the male caste has oppressed the female caste to the point where anything that can be described as ‘feminine’ is evidence of oppression.
Going into STEM does not define a woman's worth.
The problem with P.C. is that it constrains the questions that we feel we can ask both of ourselves, and our superiors. It allows orthodoxy to creep in (as it always does).
Dolan’s proposal is that shifting our attention away from constructed narratives to actual experiences is likely to make us a lot happier.