Inside the Superforecasters
Tetlock recruited 284 pundits and had them make 82,000 individual predictions from 1983 to 2003.
Michael Story
· 6 min read
A collection of 109 posts
Tetlock recruited 284 pundits and had them make 82,000 individual predictions from 1983 to 2003.
Our intellectual ascendency defined us as a species and is inextricably linked to our success and our ability to connect with one another.
In the early 20th century, this led to a split in the field of statistics, with intense debates taking place about whose methods and ways of thinking were better.
Why I'm pro-democracy; anti-totalitarianism; and support for universal human rights.