Author: Mathieu Vaillancourt

Trump and the Revenge of the Borderlands

Donald Trump won a massive and unexpected victory in an election which pollsters have not predicted. Even if he lost the popular vote — he won enough states to win the election. By winning states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, Pennsylvania and by coming very close of winning a state like Minnesota — Trump’s Rust Belt strategy worked very well. He was able to create his own path to 270 without having to win states like Virginia, Colorado or Nevada. One thing which helped in his victory is that Trump did better than expected among women, among Hispanics and among poorer voters. With all these groups — he did much better than Mitt Romney while losing some richer voters who were quite keen to Mitt Romney but not to the Donald. But where was he able to breakthrough in order to achieve his victory? When you have a stunning and unexpected victory like Trump — you always tend to over-perform in surprising places. It’s easy to talk about the Rust Belt and the good old Ohio’s bellwether — but Trump had …